Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 9.736147e-01 1.219723 1.492561 1.814500 2.181043 2.582566 3.052814
2025-06-01 6.706577e-01 0.997464 1.399643 1.917503 2.553360 3.296092 4.216492
2025-06-08 4.401674e-01 0.788150 1.264643 1.930564 2.803970 3.879558 5.272732
2025-06-15 3.212032e-01 0.686135 1.236123 2.058800 3.194805 4.649884 6.595272
2025-06-22 2.268077e-01 0.586147 1.183243 2.135741 3.513288 5.338753 7.845074
2025-06-29 1.539531e-01 0.492056 1.114267 2.170982 3.766211 5.945445 9.007673
2025-07-06 9.435946e-02 0.392594 1.009811 2.130411 3.897368 6.384426 9.957807
2025-07-13 6.106919e-02 0.331837 0.956780 2.158611 4.122848 6.954425 11.094248
2025-07-20 3.780215e-02 0.279444 0.904799 2.177075 4.327693 7.496496 12.202457
2025-07-27 1.947370e-02 0.221119 0.822224 2.126581 4.414491 7.865363 13.075267
2025-08-03 8.841109e-03 0.174060 0.748613 2.078671 4.496024 8.222812 13.935101
2025-08-10 3.964052e-03 0.144585 0.708132 2.086770 4.666493 8.713986 14.992451
2025-08-17 9.850846e-04 0.110235 0.641192 2.033620 4.732597 9.055945 15.856419
2025-08-24 3.453610e-04 0.100275 0.645190 2.131049 5.066662 9.821222 17.354955
2025-08-31 2.152607e-05 0.081394 0.610555 2.137868 5.238067 10.336953 18.498336
2025-09-07 6.839088e-07 0.077743 0.630591 2.271376 5.645205 11.234471 20.223126
2025-09-14 NaN 0.069397 0.628360 2.351560 5.956589 11.986412 21.744017
2025-09-21 NaN 0.058501 0.609327 2.388101 6.186759 12.612498 23.086482
2025-09-28 NaN 0.043756 0.561147 2.344223 6.259936 12.984222 24.050542
2025-10-05 NaN 0.036067 0.542945 2.374033 6.474814 13.590592 25.378408
2025-10-12 NaN 0.029078 0.522296 2.393584 6.668585 14.164402 26.663150
2025-10-19 NaN 0.020289 0.477905 2.339610 6.711051 14.485286 27.562806
2025-10-26 NaN 0.013683 0.437374 2.288410 6.753966 14.805255 28.463560